How Big Things Get Done

The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between

Book club https://indico.cern.ch/event/1637107/#b-653296-how-big-things-get-do

Over all not very good… Some interesting anecdotes, but not real take aways…Was a quick read.

ch1: Do the estimates come with intervals? "Think slow act fact" https://ofs-cffef789cac7d772d8b6430fa0695f9a.read.overdrive.com/?d=eyJvdXRsZXQiOiJyZWFkIiwidG9rZW4iOiJQaXR0c2J1cmdoLTM3NzkwODkiLCJhY2Nlc3MiOiJmIiwiZXhwaXJlcyI6MTc3MDQ3ODI0MSwidGhlbWUiOiJkZWZhdWx0Iiwic3luYyI6MSwicHBhcmFtIjoiaWQ0TUJHbnpHSDgweUc5YmZXR3VPZyIsInRkYXRhIjp7IkNSSUQiOiIwMDcxMDkyZS00Y2RlLTQwNWYtYWJiMS1lOWE0N2Q4MGNjN2YiLCJmb3JtYXQiOiI2MTAifSwidGltZSI6MTc2ODY2Mzg1OCwiYnVpZCI6ImNmZmVmNzg5Y2FjN2Q3NzJkOGI2NDMwZmEwNjk1ZjlhIiwiX2MiOiIxNzY4NjYzODU4NjEzIn0%3D--db184b2dbb3a44b061d0685a177488f6f02b3526&p=id4MBGnzGH80yG9bfWGuOg

Seems to me liek a lot can be explained by bad incentives

Big projects by Private Sector have better results ?

refernce-call forcasting is better on biases, better on unknown unknowns. its simple and easily done and has a proven track record.